Calibration Proof

When Quanta says "65% confidence", we owe you proof of what actually happens 65% of the time. Reliability diagrams are the gold-standard fairness test for probabilistic forecasts — we publish them live so you can verify every model honors its own confidence.

Live model · auto-refreshedIsotonic calibration · ≥40k walk-forward samplesRaw → calibrated lift shown on every metric